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Prediction for CME (2020-07-09T01:24:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2020-07-09T01:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/15642/-1 CME Note: This event is associated with a filament eruption visible between S30E05 and S30W25 in SDO AIA 193 imagery starting around 2020-07-08T20:32Z. Opening field lines corresponding to this event can also be seen on the SW limb of STEREO A EUVI 195 starting at 2020-07-08T09:05Z. The CME appears as a gradual brightening in the western streamer of STEREO A COR2 and later as a partial halo (southward) in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2020-07-13T20:35Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 4.0 Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-07-13T21:21Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Prediction Method Note: % Compiled module: EAM_V2. ****************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 121.7 km/s u_r = 166.5 km/s Acceleration: 0.944217 Duration in seconds: 415285.79 Duration in days: 4.8065485 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 0.94 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 558.6 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 13/07/2020 Time: 21:21 UTLead Time: 84.08 hour(s) Difference: -0.77 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2020-07-10T08:30Z |
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